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Magazine cover  Volume 20, No. 1, 2009

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Urbani izziv Volume 20, No. 1, June 2009 : 209–219

UDK: 712:519.218
DOI: 10.5379/urbani-izziv-en-2009-20-01-008

 

   Article in PDF format

 

Author

Damjana GANTAR

Urban Planning Institute of the Republic of Slovenia, Ljubljana, Slovenia
damjana.gantar@uirs.si

 

Title

Application of Markov chain method for landscape scenario building

 

Abstract

Scenarios used as a tool in the fields of landscape and spatial planning are gaining popularity, as they enable the vivid representation of a probable or the desired future state of a certain area. Scenarios are usually defined trough a process that combines a differing share of intuition and scientific knowledge. The preference of scenarios based on scientific knowledge and defined methods over intuitively prepared scenarios are the evident course of events and the time line and not just the initial and final situation. The article introduces Markov chain method and its use for scenario building. It compares the applicability and reliability of the results of the Markov chain method with a more simple method of linear extrapolation and will shortly present the findings regarding Markov’s chain method use for the presentation of future spatial changes and processes.

 

Key Words

landscape scenarios, scenario methodology, Markov chain method

 

 

 

PUBLISHER

Urbanistični inštitut RS
Urbani izziv - Editorial Board
Trnovski pristan 2, 1000 Ljubljana, SLO

  + 386 (0)1 420 13 10
  urbani.izziv@uirs.si

ISSN

Print edition: 0353-6483
Web edition: 1855-8399

INDEX

GOOGLE SCHOLAR
h5-index: 12
h5-median: 17
INDEX COPERNICUS
ICV 2018: 121,25
CLARIVATE ANALYTICS
Indeksirano v ESCI


SCOPUS ELSEVIER

SCImago Journal & Country Rank

SNIP: 0,357 (Quartile: Q2)
CiteScore: 0,44

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